It seems that there are endless numbers of polls out there that tell us whatever the talking heads want us to believe. I take them all with a grain of salt. So when the new poll numbers came out from Pew, I wasn’t surprised. I had already seen about 30 different polls claiming that Obama’s approval ratings were dropping. It brings to light an interesting conundrum for the far left in America (and remember I speak of the far left, not all the left). For they have been rubbing this last election cycle in the faces of conservatives and Republicans for quite a while now. So as we see the changes occurring in public opinion, what are we to make of it? I know there will be some out there who simply say the polls mean nothing. But those same folks sure thought the polls meant something 6 months ago. I was reading over at CNN and Jack Cafferty, someone I have a healthy respect for, offered some thoughts that I will share below. But I am interested to hear what everyone thinks on this subject.
We all know the history. The Republicans found themselves in a tough spot last fall. Bush had made things tough. It was easy to make him into the villain. He was the President. And he made quite a few mistakes. Despite popular liberal rhetoric, he didn’t make them alone. Democrats had as much to do with the issues we were facing as Republicans. But blaming the guy at the top was the easiest sell to an American public that won’t research to find the truth behind the matters and possibly won’t fully understand it if they do. So Democrats had one of the strongest election cycles I can remember in my lifetime. They took control of the House, the Senate, and of course, the Presidency. And even though the vast majority of those victories were by the slimmest of margins, in some cases literally a couple hundred votes, the far left claimed that they now had a mandate.
And this was bolstered by a sweeping victory by perhaps the best public speaker we have seen in history. I know some others rank fairly high. But Obama was certainly the best speaker in my lifetime. And to keep the record straight, Obama won with a decent margin. He won 28 states to McCain’s 22. He carried 53% of the popular vote (69 Million) to 46% for McCain (59 Million). A 10 Million person cushion. Nothing to sneeze at. But I submit to you that the greatest public speaker as a Presidential candidate in history went up against the worst run campaign I have seen. That he only won by 10 Million votes should almost be the butt of a bad joke. He should be ashamed he didn’t get 80% of the popular vote and all the states but Alaska and Arizona. Again the left claimed a landslide victory. I chuckled as I have seen a landslide victory before. And this wasn’t it. Ronald Reagan in 1984 won 49 states to Mondale’s 1. He got 59% of the popular vote to Mondale’s 40%. That was a landslide. This was a sound victory. But regardless, the left told the Republicans that their party is dead. They claimed a mandate to do whatever they like. Their mistake was that they actually believed it.
Cafferty’s article discussed the new Pew poll:
Why are Democrats’ and Obama’s approval ratings falling?
As the debate over health care rages on… the American people are increasingly souring on President Obama and the Democrats. A new poll shows the president’s approval rating at 51-percent — the lowest of his presidency and down from 61-percent two-months ago.
The Pew poll shows the Democratic Party now has a favorable rating of 49-percent… also down from 59-percent in April and 62-percent in January.
When it comes to the Republican Party — public opinion has remained steady all year at about 40-percent.
Meanwhile it looks like the American people aren’t buying into calls for bipartisanship. The poll shows 63-percent of those surveyed say the president and Republicans are not working together on important issues… that’s up from 50-percent who felt that way in June.
Although more people blame the Republicans than President Obama for this lack of co-operation, the poll shows a growing number are now faulting the president. 17-percent of Americans say Mr. Obama is to blame… that’s up from seven-percent who felt that way in February.
Meanwhile a separate Gallup poll shows the Democratic-led Congress’ approval at 31-percent… the lowest reading since February.
With health care eclipsing all else in Washington this summer — it seems as though the president and the Democrats are losing favor with the American people. It will be interesting to see what happens to these numbers if the Democrats decide to “go it alone” like we’ve been hearing.
You can read the article and viewer comments here: Cafferty File: Tell Jack how you really feel Blog Archive – Why are Democrats’ and Obama’s approval ratings falling? « – Blogs from CNN.com
So I started thinking about why the poll numbers have seen a steady decrease since he took office. And it isn’t just him, it is the Democratic party and the Congress have seen numbers dropping as well. But the President has lost 10 points in approval rating in the last two months. So the question that I am sure is driving Democrats nuts is “how can this be happening?” I imagine, although I won’t claim to speak for them, that they are quite willing to blame the fall in approval on mass hysteria being propagated by Rush and Beck and Hannity. Stupid people believing the stupid lies about death panels and killing grandma. I am guessing that will be the rationalization.
But I don’t think that is the case. Certainly those conservative talk shows and Fox News are having an impact. They basically have their style meter set to “Bash Obama” 99% of the time (although, as a listener, I do not believe that Beck falls into the same category as Limbaugh and Hannity. He is outrageous. He is also usually fairly accurate). But I think the Democrats failed to take into account the fact that the very reason they got to the results that they did was because they convinced moderate Republicans and Independent voters to go along on the “Yes We Can” train. And while I didn’t jump over there, I am an Independent voter. And I think that I can speak for why I, along with so many more Americans, are now registered Independent.
Let’s face it, there is nothing to be gained by being an Independent. In a general election we are all allowed to vote however we want to vote anyway. In fact, as an Independent, in some states you are put at a disadvantage. You cannot participate in the primaries of either major party. So why do people switch to putting that (I) beside their name? Because they are disgusted with whatever used to be beside their name and don’t feel the other side is any better. Independents are Independents because they are fed up with both parties. We have seen that both of the parties are completely full of bulldookey. We have watched them both play the blame game, when we could plainly see that they were both fairly equally at fault. We have watched them consolidate power in Washington at the detriment of the people. We have watched them play partisan games, refusing to support a good idea simply because the “other side” proposed it.
We have watched it all and finally said, “Screw ’em both.”
And while we all have our own little lean to the left or to the right, we clearly see through much of the Shenanigans that go on in Washington. Being able to see what Washington is up to has given us a clarity of vision that those who remain completely loyal to the extreme one way or the other simply cannot comprehend. I am willing to listen to and support an idea no matter where it comes from. And I am willing to call and idea dumb or assess it honestly whether from the left or the right (regardless of Ray calling me a liar). And in that way I am representative of the Independents, the group that I call the “middle” of American politics.
What happened last fall was a great speaker doing what he does best. And he convinced a lot of the people in the middle to come along on his journey. He promised “hope and change”, and I have to admit, that even to me, it was a convincing motto and something I truly hoped he meant. I recall on the night of November 4th, even after having voted for his opponent, watching his acceptance speech in awe and thinking, “if he really means what he is saying, he will be one of the best Presidents in my lifetime”. But I was skeptical, as all of you know.
And I think that is how all Independent voters felt. Whether they voted for him or against him. They inherently don’t trust politicians and they certainly don’t trust the two major parties. So they were skeptical but hopeful.
The last 6 months have thus far proven my skepticism to be accurate. An economic stimulus bill that was nothing more than a couple of decades worth of liberal wish lists and 9,000 of the earmarks Obama promised to eliminate. A bailout of the auto industry that included increased government meddling in private business. Unwavering support for the unions that funded him that resulted in bondholders getting the shaft in favor of union members. Government funding for an obviously partisan political group, ACORN. An attitude very early on that included his “I Won” statement after promising bipartisanship. Reversal of the successful Clinton Welfare Reforms, which will undo years of success and create a larger and more dependent lower class. And now a health care reform debate driven by an obvious agenda, not at all interested in actually making American’s lives better. “Hope and Change” showed itself to be nothing more that “More of the Same Washington bullshit”.
So now those in the middle of American politics are angry, and they feel like they were tricked. They can see through the games being played on both sides of the aisle. They had the highest hopes for something different. And they have been let down again. On some counts I blame Obama for promising things he had no intention of delivering on. But on the majority I simply chalk it up to the fact that even the greatest public speaker of our times has no ability to change what happens inside the beltway. The system is deep-rooted. I don’t trust Obama. But I do think he wants to do the right thing. I think his version of the right thing is severely misguided at times. But I think he wants to be good. But he lis learning quickly this is a dirty business. And the unfortunate truth is that he is stooping down to the level of Congress instead of forcing them to be better.
So, in my opinion, the drop in approval rating for Obama is simply the natural thing that has to happen. He is playing partisan politics. The threat exists now that the Democrats will try to use procedural tricks to force through a health care bill that the vast majority of Americans think is a bad bill. This is the Washington we all know far too well. And he is falling right in line in adapting to their practices instead of living up to the expectations that set for us. So Americans are turning away. And I have talked to many who have turned away completely. They figure if he wasn’t the real deal, there simply isn’t any further hope for Washington DC.
Obama had the approval ratings that he did based on the hope he inspired in “the middle” of American politics. He has proven to be not what he told the middle he would be. And that has resulted in many of them disapproving of his tenure so far. After all, remember that they see through the partisan games, that is why they became an Independent in the first place. And they se through what is going on in Congress and the White House as well. They won’t be so easily tricked again. And no matter what mandate the left felt it had, has evaporated. Their only mandate at this point is in their own minds. I am not sure it ever really existed outside of there in the first place.
So I am eager to see what all of you think. Why do you think that we are seeing the drops in Obama and Congress’ approval ratings? And lets avoid the rhetoric. I agree that their are things we are seeing which lend us to believe a form of fasciolism is what the left is currently seeking. But we have had some of those discussions already. Let’s leave that discussion for another day. How do you explain the drop in the the polls? Honest and thought out answers are what I am looking for.