The vast majority of the People are stuck in denial or the complexity of the reality of the situation and its inevitable consequences are simply too large for them to comprehend.
The mindset of the American mass mind is, in one word:
If there is any doubt at the futility of expecting that the American public will somehow “wake up” before driving off of the precipice, the arguments made in Reflections should have put that expectation to rest permanently.
Harsh? Not considering the stakes.
But where others maybe clueless creates opportunity for the observant.
I am unaware of any fiscal year since 1790 where Federal employment and Federal spending took place, (other than after a major war when the soldiers were de-commissioned and taxes were cut)- if we are talking about civilian employment by the Federal government – which includes those receiving any form of welfare and entitlements – I am unaware of any permanent reduction, ever.
Yes, “they” still dream.
There should come a time when the victims of a myth should figure out that they are the victims of a rich and powerful ruling class, which then hires teachers and selects the textbooks, picks the “candidates” and the “issues” for the voters to keep the voters docile.
But this dawning of enlightenment has yet to come to many.
I can’t change people. I can only encourage the ones who understand the inescapable problem of Public choice doctrine and the Iron Law of Politics to not be frivolous with their thinking and their time.
Frivolous with the former (the thinking) wastes the latter (time), and there is a finite supply of the latter (time).
We need not spend anymore words on why efforts in Washington must be abandoned. Now the efforts have to lead to the creating the necessary foundations on which to rebuild.
For the few that have kept on, we must wave goodbye to those do not follow.
To focus on the situation:
Federal government will go bankrupt.
The State governments are in far worse shape then the Federal government.
The Municipalities are in far worse shape then the State governments.
Problem scenario (1) – Hyperinflation;
The reason the State and Muni political entities are in worse trouble is that they cannot print digital money. The ability of the Federal government to do such a thing is a clear and dangerous threat – they by their action can destroy the money and thus the entire economic system of the Western world.
I do not believe the Federal government will allow money to die as the consequences are utterly devastating. However, it still exists as a possibility.
Problem scenario (2) – Decentralization to the States
To avoid hyperinflation, the Federal government will default.
Before it itself defaults completely, it will withdraw financial support for the States and Muni’s – indeed, it will exasperate them by transferring responsibility for a significant part of the Federally assumed entitlements and tasks and put them right onto the backs of the States, who are in no shape to carry them. There will be no bailouts down stream.
Importantly, it is likely to assume that with the transfer of responsibilities will also transfer a significant suite of Federal powers as well, such as perhaps tax powers such as excise and duties or even to coin money. The likely list of power transfers would need to be thought out.
Also, consideration that this transfer of responsibility and power may not be necessarily voluntary by the Federal government – they may actively work to retain the power while divesting the responsibility which will creating vacuums, gaps, confusion and struggles – whirlwinds and tornadoes that will confuse and confound. Strategies need to be worked here.
Problem Scenario (3) – Decentralization to the Muni/County
The decentralization is unlikely to stop at the State level as it is in no better (and probably worse) shape then the Federal government. The States may simply pass the buck and declare many of the responsibilities carried by the State and the Federal government be assigned to local communities.
With such things as Social Security and Health Care. it is quite conceivable that the Feds and the States simply announce that Social Service care is best handled locally and hence forth, no longer a Federal/State responsibility.
Quickly -almost over night- the Muni/County governments would be saddled with providing basic Social services abandoned by the Feds and the States.
The elderly, the homeless and unemployed in your town would no longer be the Fed’s/State’s problem -it would by your problem.
But importantly, again, a transfer of responsibility will also transfer significant government power that would have been exclusive to the Federal government or the State government. Conceivably, a tremendous amount of legislative and executive government power could appear in the hands of a mayor.
This raises significant questions, such as how and in what form would these powers manifest in a much more localized structure. Also as with the Federal decentralization, there may be actual resistance in this transfer of this power by the State.
However, you can most certainly see where I am leading here.
I believe the exercise of power the was once the exclusive and traditional domain of the Federal and/or State government will suffer the downhill slide of economic bankruptcy and force the distribution of these domains upon local administration.
Think: de facto (but not de jure) City States.
(De facto – in fact but not in law; De jure – in law but not necessarily in fact)
The entity called “the United States” is unlikely to disappear. However, its overt federal governance is most likely to disappear. It would probably retain de jure powers, but unlikely capable of exercising most of them.
It is likely -to me- that the USA will evolve into a loose Confederation of de facto Independent Governing Entities within the de jure structure of the United States- yep, a bit like Russia.
I point to Russia because it is a real, historical example of such decentralization (to a point – there are other core differences between the two countries that would create dis-similar circumstances and divergences).
But back to point, the decentralization has no brakes – there is nothing particular at the State political level (other than a political philosophy) that would gel and coalesce a political entity. The State is as feeble as the Feds.
Thus, the political power decentralization will move to the next lowest point of the political action – local politics.
Though the Muni’s are financially bankrupt, the condition of such bankruptcy are different.
First the amount of funding is orders of magnitude smaller – millions and the occasional billion – not hundreds of billions and trillions. Financing would mostly come from the local constituency themselves and not some international money bag-men – creating direct and local responsibility to the lenders. Though government has no ability to measure profit and loss, the local lenders do. The lenders would keep a lean government wallet. Since the funders are local, they are capable of making some economic measure of local government. Though defaulted on past bonds, the Muni/City might be able to raise funding locally – much like your brother-in-law who defaults on loans to the bank, you might front him a few bucks to get him by because you know him better than the bank does ….
This – at the mundane, basic level of Muni\County politics – is where the Remnant must act.
No one is seriously looking here. It is a greenfield of political action.
There is no political party organization of significance sitting in the way. The barriers to entry are very low.
It is unglamorous. It does not get air time or much press. This is good.
The elite are not interested in unglamorous activities. They like reading about themselves. They believe being a County School Board Trustee is … boring and mundane. This is a huge advantage. They do not participate at this level.
Establishing credibility at the local level is key. The “School Trustee or Dog Catcher” strategy is powerful – for example, the Colonel either by design or by chance has already begun this strategy in his area. With coherent strategy and planning and time, he could easily place himself in position ready to accept the decentralized powers transferred along with the political responsibilities abandoned by the Feds/State.
Defend what cannot be attacked.
Attack what cannot be defended.
Any consciously organized, disciplined group acting in alliance across the nation – whose focus is the grassroots, greenfield political arena of local Muni/County politics – would redefine the American political landscape. To actively begin occupying this level of government NOW coherently across the entire country, one enclave, city or county at a time while the political elite’s eyes are unfocused and competition does not exist – is key.